Understanding Fundamental Analysis (Part 6)
| Written By Xavier Lim on 24 Oct 2008 | Education | Add comments (0) | Contact Author |
Studying the financial health of a company is never an easy task. Shares Investment (Singapore) hopes that the previous 5 parts of “Understanding Fundamental Analysis” series have helped readers in making good investment decisions. In “Understanding Fundamental Analysis” Part 5, we did mention the importance of reading income statements, cash flow statements and balance sheets. In this issue, we shall go more in detail with regards to this aspect.
Let us take steel-maker FerroChina for this issue’s discussion. FerroChina, once a gem in many analysts’ eyes, shocked investors on 9 October when it announced that it would default on loans worth Rmb706m, making it the first Singapore-listed company that fell victim to the global economic crisis.
FerroChina has been maintaining a very low debt-to-equity ratio (total debts/shareholders’ equity funds) throughout FY05 to 1H08 and as at 30 Jun-08, its debt-to-equity ratio was only 0.7 times. So what has really happened to FerroChina? 1H08 2007 2006 2005 6,516,236 5,913,033 3,788,423 2,186,143 459,840 412,222 299,553 146,128 418,886 381,170 269,033 146,128 1H08 2007 2006 2005 459,840 412,222 299,553 146,128 384,689 157,723 240,519 -608,241 198,850 -21,698 156,993 -642,611 1H08 2007 2006 2005 125,409 142,900 67,984 11,492 915,251 441,878 297,802 205,031 2,913,638 2,753,658 486,675 938,326 2,364,016 1,809,465 840,012 315,521 6,319,820 5,149,406 1,693,149 1,470,370 15,321,165 12,898,668 2,985,387 1,865,851 3,847,435 3,249,596 870,499 517,085 6,223,849 5,416,344 1,398,948 785,827 8,661,783 6,628,143 2,129,393 1,348,235 4,572,922 3,302,151 921,124 831,150 2,330,613 2,142,706 474,690 268,742 2,242,309 1,159,445 446,434 562,408 6,659,382 6,270,525 855,994 517,616
Income Statement
Revenue
Profit before tax
Net profit
(Figures in Rmb’000)
Cash Flow Statement
Profit before tax
Operating Profit
Net Cash from operations
(Figures in Rmb’000)
Balance Sheet
Cash and cash balance
Fixed deposits
Trade and other receivables
Inventories
Current Assets
Total Assets
Trade and other payables
Current Liabilities
Total Liabilities
Total debts
- Short term debts
- Long term debts
Shareholders’ equity funds
(Figures in Rmb’000)
Let us look into FerroChina’s FY05 to 1H08 income statements, cash flow statements and balance sheets. As we see in the income statement table, FerroChina’s revenue and earnings have been soaring since its listing on 19 May-05, but its cash flow statement does not look as fantastic. FerroChina relies heavily on credit to fund its working capital on the back of its inconsistent and weak cash flow, which makes it harder for FerroChina to strengthen its balance sheet during a credit crunch.
FerroChina’s balance sheet looks healthy at one glance, with its total assets to total liabilities at 1.8 times and 1.9 times in 1H08 and FY07 respectively. When we delve deeper into the balance sheet, it shows that over the years, it has been increasing its borrowings at a frantic pace. The critical part that pushed the company into its current financial woes was its huge short-term debts of Rmb2.3b. Although FerroChina maintained huge cash in hands (cash plus fixed deposit), it is still insufficient to meet all the short-term obligations as its fixed deposit was pledged as collateral.
Moreover, FerroChina has to service interest payments on its long-term debt of Rmb2.2b, which may approximate to Rmb100m annually.
In addition, FerroChina’s current ratio (current assets/current liabilities) which is approximately equal to 1 suggests that the company would not be adequate to pay off its short-term obligations if they came due at that point, which is definitely not a good sign.
Let us look into FerroChina’s current assets and liabilities in detail. Its trade and other payables piled up to Rmb3.8b on top of its short-term debts. With a large amount of cash locked in both its receivables and inventories, this further exacerbated FerroChina’s liquidity problems.
Compounded by the fact that the world is already reeling from a global credit crunch, most banks would be unwilling to extend large amounts of loans to any bank, let alone any other corporate entity. Raising capital via issuance of shares will also be tough given the pessimism surrounding investors.
FerroChina has raked up too much debt in a bid for expansion and has forgotten the fundamental importance of managing its cash flow and balance sheet well. No wonder Warren Buffett once said: “It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it.”
- *DJ Ferrochina:Total Of 206 Suits Filed Vs Units Claiming CNY4.8B (1 months ago)
- The Great Singapore Sale – Is It Time To Bottom-Pick? (2 months ago)
- Editorial Desk (2 months ago)
- Prof Chan Yan Chong’s Column (2 months ago)
- A Small Exchange Needing A Big Makeover (2 months ago)

